Today against Bet365 has better HC, but other bookies already started to increase HC on Mornar. In this case, I am again taking higher HC for stats due to higher limits.
Mornar is in a must-win situation and everything except win today will be a big surprise for me. They are fighting for a playoff spot with the other 4 teams and this match is the easiest of all others. By player names, Mornar has one of the best teams on Balkan but somehow they haven't managed to show the best basketball yet. Especially they started to lose games after Pullen's injury.
Mornar showed that they are too dependant on 3 point shots and against a serious team it means usually lose a game. Against FMP I am expecting they will play fast and hit a lot of open shots. We also need to know that they have very good players inside including Lukovic, Hamilton, Smith, etc.
All in all quality difference is too big here and I think Mornar can and should win this in double digits.