Big stake on Argentina here. Australia won all 3 games but still, they can't be such a big favorite against Argentina. They have some good players like Mills and others, but the most important here is Baynes is out and it is a big loss for a team. Australia already played with short rotation and against Argentina, they will have big problems.
I believe that Argentina didn't show everything that they are capable of with this team and they have chances to win this match. They have a very quality team with some experienced players. They have the most problems under the basket, where also Australia won't be in the best squad.
All in all, Australia just can't be such a big favorite and there is a big value in these odds.